Matthew Harris (![[info]](http://p-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small} glowing_fish) wrote,@ 2008-04-21 18:07:00 |
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Election Prediction:
My latest election prediction
(the last one wasn't too successful)
Hillary Clinton will win the Pennsylvania primary, but not by enough to give her reason to stay in the campaign, but not by enough to make it clear that it is time to leave.
The only reason she will leave now is over money, since as I understand it, she is quite a bit behind in fundraising, and it would seem silly to go further in debt to contest a number of primaries that really can't change the fate of her campaign, even if she does manage to do better than predicted.
On the other hand, since she has been talking about staying in, she might not be able to back out just because she hasn't won by as much margin as she would have liked.
My latest election prediction
(the last one wasn't too successful)
Hillary Clinton will win the Pennsylvania primary, but not by enough to give her reason to stay in the campaign, but not by enough to make it clear that it is time to leave.
The only reason she will leave now is over money, since as I understand it, she is quite a bit behind in fundraising, and it would seem silly to go further in debt to contest a number of primaries that really can't change the fate of her campaign, even if she does manage to do better than predicted.
On the other hand, since she has been talking about staying in, she might not be able to back out just because she hasn't won by as much margin as she would have liked.
